Hollywod Park - spring meet (2008)

Track: Hollywood Park
Races:All races
Evaluation method:Speed , Competitivenness (1.0 – 0.25)
Wager:Win on the first pick.


Comment: The trend is visible fairly late into the meet. Using 10 playing days sliding window – for those who have confidence in that type of analysis – would have produced an entry point on May 10. The winning percentage is very good, and the entry point is solid.


Winning percentage declines from the entry point, but the whole trend is quite good.


Golden Gate - summer meet (2008)

Track: Golden Gate
Races:All races
Evaluation method: Speed v6 - Workout v4 (1.0 - 0.85)
Wager:Win on the first pick.


Comment: As usual the GG is producing very high winning percentage. The meet opens with a very strong day, within first six days three are positive in terms of revenue and one is just a minor loss. Profitability must decline but it is a good starting point.


Winning percentage declined but the trend produced good profit without any major runoffs. It is easy to play and 10 cents on a dollar for every race played is acceptable. It is worth noting that exotics with those trends can produce very good results. In this case the exacta 1 with 2,3,4,5 produced 15% of winners and 23 cents on a dollar bet on all races from the entry point.

Woodbine - meet 2008

Track: Woodbine
Races:All races
Evaluation method:Speed , Workout (1.0 – 0.75) - Competitiveness (1.0 - 0.6)
Wager:Win on the first pick.


Comment: The trend shows steady improvement. It was profitable already on May 19th but the winning percentage was below 20%. Discarding first five days moves the winning percentage to 21% and profitability to 24 cents. It is a matter of personal preferences how the entry point is assessed, for me it is enough to have ten racing days with winning percentage over 20%, positive expectation and distribution where at least 50% of playing days are profitable. So here we have an entry point which should satisfy most of the players.

The trend remained solid for one thousand races. The winning percentage reached 25% and solid 16 cents on each dollar bet should satisfy even most demanding players. Those who expect better results should look for solutions somewhere else.


Santa Anita - Oak Tree meet (2008)

Track: Sanata Anita
Races:All races
Evaluation method:Speed v0 - Workout v01 (1.0 - 0.55)
Wager:Win on the first pick.


Comment: Here the entry point is on the edge of acceptability. On one hand side it shows very strong profit and good winning percentage and yet on the other side the distribution is slightly unsettling. I’ve played this trend; less adventurous players might want to sit that one out.


The trend held nicely till the end of the meet. Winning percentage increased slightly and the profitability at 15 cents per dollar bet on 153 races is very good.